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read moreIn a first for Australian football, Deakin University researcher Daniel Hoffman, has developed a formula to determine the impact of AFL player injuries on where a team is likely to finish on the ladder at the end of the season.
The study from Hoffman, a PhD candidate within Deakin's School of Exercise and Nutrition Sciences, is published in a recent edition of The British Journal of Sports Medicine.
It investigates the relationship between AFL teams losing their most valuable players to injury and their ladder position - and ultimately their chances of making the finals.
Hoffman said his research showed that an injury-free season among key players contributed to Richmond's successful 2017 campaign, and is also a factor in Brisbane making their first finals series in 10 years.
Hoffman noted that although it may sound obvious that when fewer key players were lost to injury, a team would go further up the ladder, but advised his study removes any guesswork and also includes a formula teams can use through the season to predict ladder position based on injuries.
The formula quantifies injury cost to a team by weighting a player's injury to their importance to the team, using five measures of player value.
The study found:
Hoffman looked at 15,289 injuries causing players from 18 teams to miss 51,331 matches between 1997 and 2016, using data provided by the AFL and its clubs. He analysed the associations among injury measures and team performance in reaching the finals series and where teams would finish on the ladder.
Hoffman added: "We know that injury does influence team performance, and this study supports what we already know.
"But what’s important is these findings give coaches more accurate data on where to focus resources in booking their team a place in the finals."
The Deakin research team included PhD Candidate Daniel Hoffman, Deakin colleagues Dr Dan Dwyer, Dr Steven Bowe, Professor Paul Gastin and the AFL's Head of Health, Safety and Laws, Dr Patrick Clifton.
Click here to view the paper 'Is injury associated with team performance in elite Australian football? 20 years of player injury and team performance data that include measures of individual player value'.
17th July 2019 - Statistics reveal ‘massive surge’ in sports injuries among New Zealand youth
12th February 2019 - Concussion in Sport Australia initiative launches position statement and toolkit
25th January 2019 - International Olympic Committee recognises Australian researchers for critical work on sports injuries
27th May 2018 - Preventing injuries vital for grassroots sporting clubs
20th December 2017 - New South Wales Institute of Sport to introduce new concussion test for athletes
1st September 2017 - Arts, recreation and sport workers have New Zealand’s highest injury rate
17th July 2016 - AFL injury survey shows substantial rise in player concussions
25th May 2016 - Sports injury hospitalisations higher in regional Australia
23rd March 2012 - Australian First Concussion Policy for WAAFL
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